Wednesday, April 25, 2007

Buy it or Sell it: Hot/Slow Starts

Hot Starts:

Rich Hill - I buy this one. The guys a stud in the making and one of the best left handed pitchers in the NL. Expect a slight regression in his numbers but a 3.3 ERA to end the year is probably not out of the question and anything less than 3.7 would be a dissapointment at this point.

Alex Rodriguez - Have to buy this one as well. No, he's not going to hit 100 home runs like he's on pace to do but he can top 50 and 55 or 60 isn't out of the question.

Mark DeRosa - Sell. This guy still shouldn't be on fantasy rosters and the Cubs should never have signed him.

Eric Byrnes - Buy. 30/30 not out of the question. 25/25 is definately attainable again. Could be one of the best draft day bargains.

Slow Starts:


Carlos Zambrano - Sell this. He always starts the season slow and he is always an ace in the end. Don't worry about Big Z.

Anthony Reyes - Sell this one as well. I think an ERA around 4 is a reasonable expectation and anything less than 4.5 will be a dissapointment. He'll figure it out at some point.

Alfonso Soriano - Sell it also. The move to LF should help his bat a little bit. He no longer will have to worry as much about defense.

Phillies - Buy. Okay, so we over exaggerated the Mets problems a tad bit but Pelfrey has looked horrible. The Phillies studs are going to wake up (Utley and Howard I'm talking to you) but the relief pitching is terrible and they need to make a trade. Moving their best SP not named Hamels to the pen is not the answer.

Mike Pelfrey - Buy. Don't get me wrong, he's going to be good in the long run but this is just not his year. He needs another year to mature but they just don't have that time to give him.

Chris B. Young and Carlos Quentin - Sell. These youngsters are going to start hitting its just a matter of time.


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